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Red70
481426.0
452519.6
772218.3
Blue68
637823.9
497624.7
672518.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67700204060801001207068

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.1
25.926.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End3.5
red by 1.3
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End8.2
Second
19.60.1
19.519.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End6.6
blue by 4.3
6378
#15
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.1
End4.1
Third
7722
#17
18.30.1
18.218.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End4.3
red by 0.1
6725
#33
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.7
End3.7