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Red80
637823.9
497624.7
672518.2
Blue59
260918.8
494016.1
459515.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6853204060801008059

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.3
24.024.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End8.2
red by 5.9
2609
#35
18.80.1
18.518.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Second
6378
#15
23.90.3
23.323.5
Auto3.8
Teleop16.1
End4.1
red by 7.8
16.10.1
15.816.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End5.9
Third
6725
#33
18.20.3
17.517.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.7
End3.7
red by 2.4
4595
#10
15.80.1
15.615.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End4.3