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Red45
260918.8
568917.9
461713.9
Blue49
613015.1
375618.1
672518.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464402060801004549

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#35
18.80.6
17.517.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
red by 0.6
6725
#33
18.20.3
16.817.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.7
End3.7
Second
5689
#21
17.90.6
15.114.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End4.7
blue by 0.3
3756
#31
18.10.3
12.312.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Third
4617
#16
13.90.6
11.110.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End3.3
blue by 1.3
6130
#26
15.10.3
12.412.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed