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Red78
765915.8
637823.9
495118.2
Blue21
61627.9
528817.9
78113.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533701020306070807821

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6378
#15
23.91.2
17.118.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.1
End4.1
red by 6.0
5288
#22
17.90.9
15.514.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Second
4951
#25
18.21.3
19.120.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End2.9
red by 4.7
781
#36
13.50.9
12.711.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End2.6
Third
7659
#30
15.81.2
14.115.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End3.1
red by 7.9
6162
#39
7.90.9
6.96.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed