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Red58
461713.9
136022.7
637823.9
Blue50
481426.0
587016.3
270222.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53563040506070805850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6378
#15
23.90.5
18.218.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.1
End4.1
blue by 2.0
26.00.2
19.319.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End3.5
Second
1360
#20
22.70.5
20.320.9
Auto3.4
Teleop15.4
End3.9
red by 0.6
2702
#12
22.20.2
20.920.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Third
4617
#16
13.90.5
11.411.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End3.3
blue by 2.4
5870
#28
16.30.2
12.712.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed