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Red47
613015.1
260918.8
78113.5
Blue74
548318.5
497624.7
620215.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4557203040507080904774

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#35
18.80.3
17.417.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
blue by 5.9
24.71.3
24.926.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End8.2
Second
6130
#26
15.10.3
13.513.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8
blue by 3.4
5483
#29
18.51.3
15.316.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Third
781
#36
13.50.3
11.712.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End2.6
blue by 2.4
6202
#18
15.91.3
14.015.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsEarned70%HAB Docking oddsEarned