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Red54
494016.1
502426.2
373922.1
Blue44
583425.1
605211.3
672518.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57522040801005444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.0
22.222.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End8.8
red by 1.1
5834
#11
25.10.3
19.018.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.1
End10.0
Second
22.10.0
18.118.1
Auto5.5
Teleop10.9
End5.7
red by 3.9
6725
#33
18.20.3
17.317.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.7
End3.7
Third
16.10.0
13.913.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End5.9
red by 4.8
6052
#27
11.30.3
12.612.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned58%HAB Docking oddsMissed