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Red31
497624.7
699218.8
747510.5
Blue42
605211.3
528817.9
648115.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54412060803142

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.4
26.224.9
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End8.2
red by 6.7
5288
#22
17.90.2
14.714.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Second
6992
#24
18.81.4
17.215.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
red by 3.7
6481
#19
15.10.2
11.711.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Third
7475
#37
10.51.4
7.96.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End2.5
blue by 0.9
6052
#27
11.30.2
12.212.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed