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Red54
548318.5
772218.3
582112.2
Blue74
502426.2
260918.8
688113.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49532030406070805474

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5483
#29
18.50.1
16.416.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End2.6
blue by 7.7
26.21.4
21.022.4
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End8.8
Second
7722
#17
18.30.1
16.816.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End4.3
blue by 0.5
2609
#35
18.81.4
17.719.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Third
5821
#38
12.20.1
13.513.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End3.1
blue by 0.8
6881
#13
13.11.4
11.612.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed55%HAB Docking oddsEarned