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Red58
481426.0
494016.1
772218.3
Blue26
568917.9
633119.7
648115.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45463035405055605826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.01.0
15.016.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End3.5
red by 6.3
19.71.1
15.414.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End4.6
Second
7722
#17
18.31.0
13.614.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End4.3
red by 0.4
5689
#21
17.91.1
16.315.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End4.7
Third
16.11.0
13.814.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End5.9
red by 1.0
6481
#19
15.11.1
11.510.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed