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Red79
502426.2
633119.7
452519.6
Blue72
260918.8
528817.9
637823.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5456204060807972

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.21.1
22.423.5
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End8.8
red by 2.3
6378
#15
23.91.3
18.619.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.1
End4.1
Second
19.71.1
14.815.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End4.6
red by 1.0
2609
#35
18.81.3
19.120.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Third
19.61.1
14.015.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End6.6
red by 1.7
5288
#22
17.91.3
15.416.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed