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Red54
747510.5
568917.9
705823.1
Blue74
270222.2
375618.1
502426.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47622040801005474

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.7
20.220.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End6.8
blue by 3.1
26.20.2
23.523.7
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End8.8
Second
5689
#21
17.90.7
17.518.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End4.7
blue by 4.3
2702
#12
22.20.2
21.221.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Third
7475
#37
10.50.7
6.47.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End2.5
blue by 7.7
3756
#31
18.10.2
14.014.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsEarned