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Red59
587016.3
260918.8
61627.9
Blue32
633910.4
613015.1
582112.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4239102030506070805932

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#35
18.80.3
20.320.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
red by 3.6
6130
#26
15.10.3
13.913.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Second
5870
#28
16.30.3
13.814.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 4.0
5821
#38
12.20.3
13.012.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End3.1
Third
6162
#39
7.90.3
6.16.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End1.9
blue by 2.5
6339
#40
10.40.5
10.09.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed