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Red70
648115.1
481426.0
559615.7
Blue59
672518.2
495118.2
373922.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496102040807059

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.01.4
22.023.4
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End3.5
red by 3.9
22.10.1
20.720.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.9
End5.7
Second
5596
#23
15.71.4
13.314.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End4.4
blue by 2.5
4951
#25
18.20.1
18.618.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Third
6481
#19
15.11.4
11.012.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.7
blue by 3.1
6725
#33
18.20.1
18.118.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed