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Red46
559615.7
495118.2
613015.1
Blue67
637823.9
497624.7
494016.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4865204060801004667

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4951
#25
18.20.0
18.518.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End2.9
blue by 6.5
24.70.3
23.423.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End8.2
Second
5596
#23
15.70.0
13.313.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End4.4
blue by 8.3
6378
#15
23.90.3
21.120.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.1
End4.1
Third
6130
#26
15.10.0
13.613.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8
blue by 1.0
16.10.3
17.016.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed80%HAB Docking oddsMissed