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Red51
461713.9
605211.3
699218.8
Blue34
648115.1
765915.8
260918.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4652203040607080905134

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6992
#24
18.80.5
17.917.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Level
2609
#35
18.81.0
20.619.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Second
4617
#16
13.90.5
12.912.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End3.3
blue by 1.9
7659
#30
15.81.0
16.515.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Third
6052
#27
11.30.5
12.712.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End1.9
blue by 3.8
6481
#19
15.11.0
12.411.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed