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Red50
528817.9
688113.1
373922.1
Blue49
260918.8
672518.2
540822.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53622040801005049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.0
20.820.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.9
End5.7
blue by 0.1
22.20.6
21.520.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.6
End4.6
Second
5288
#22
17.90.0
16.816.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End3.5
blue by 0.8
2609
#35
18.80.6
19.518.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Third
6881
#13
13.10.0
12.512.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End2.7
blue by 5.1
6725
#33
18.20.6
17.216.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned35%HAB Docking oddsMissed