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Red50
559615.7
685612.0
494016.1
Blue54
582112.2
747510.5
502426.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44480204060805054

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.2
16.716.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End5.9
blue by 10.1
26.20.6
24.625.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End8.8
Second
5596
#23
15.70.2
15.214.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End4.4
red by 3.4
5821
#38
12.20.6
11.612.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End3.1
Third
6856
#34
12.00.2
9.89.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End1.0
red by 1.5
7475
#37
10.50.6
9.39.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned