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Red51
587016.3
633910.4
528817.9
Blue42
620215.9
772218.3
78113.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44502030406070805142

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5288
#22
17.90.6
16.817.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End3.5
blue by 0.3
7722
#17
18.30.4
17.917.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End4.3
Second
5870
#28
16.30.6
14.915.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 0.4
6202
#18
15.90.4
16.215.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End2.4
Third
6339
#40
10.40.7
10.110.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End1.8
blue by 3.1
781
#36
13.50.4
13.312.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed