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Red32
583425.1
613015.1
620215.9
Blue41
605211.3
747510.5
459515.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50331020406070803241

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5834
#11
25.11.0
18.517.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.1
End10.0
red by 9.3
4595
#10
15.80.5
11.211.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End4.3
Second
6202
#18
15.91.0
15.114.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End2.4
red by 4.5
6052
#27
11.30.5
11.411.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End1.9
Third
6130
#26
15.11.0
13.412.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8
red by 4.7
7475
#37
10.50.5
8.28.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed