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Red55
540822.2
569917.4
613015.1
Blue63
633119.7
699218.8
672518.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55562040801005563

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.2
20.921.1
Auto5.0
Teleop12.6
End4.6
red by 2.5
19.70.7
17.918.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End4.6
Second
5699
#32
17.40.2
16.416.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.8
blue by 1.5
6992
#24
18.80.7
18.218.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Third
6130
#26
15.10.2
14.414.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8
blue by 3.1
6725
#33
18.20.7
16.617.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsEarned