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Red65
528817.9
502426.2
613015.1
Blue63
569917.4
648115.1
270222.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6055203040507080906563

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.5
25.225.7
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End8.8
red by 4.1
2702
#12
22.20.7
21.422.1
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Second
5288
#22
17.90.5
17.417.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End3.5
red by 0.6
5699
#32
17.40.7
16.717.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.8
Third
6130
#26
15.10.5
14.615.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Level
6481
#19
15.10.7
14.415.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed