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Red41
688113.1
136022.7
452519.6
Blue41
648115.1
587016.3
495118.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464302060804141

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#20
22.7
Auto3.4
Teleop15.4
End3.9
red by 4.5
4951
#25
18.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Second
19.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End6.6
red by 3.4
5870
#28
16.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Third
6881
#13
13.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End2.7
blue by 2.1
6481
#19
15.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed