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Red74
637823.9
497624.7
672518.2
Blue63
136022.7
502426.2
587016.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069506080907463

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.2
24.624.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End8.2
blue by 1.6
26.20.1
26.326.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End8.8
Second
6378
#15
23.90.2
23.924.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.1
End4.1
red by 1.2
1360
#20
22.70.1
22.822.7
Auto3.4
Teleop15.4
End3.9
Third
6725
#33
18.20.2
18.118.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.7
End3.7
red by 1.9
5870
#28
16.30.1
16.316.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.3
End2.2