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Red75
467828.1
131026.9
698715.1
Blue60
613521.9
270620.8
663218.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726440506080907560

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.2
27.527.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End8.5
red by 6.3
6135
#14
21.90.0
21.721.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End4.5
Second
26.90.2
26.226.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End7.4
red by 6.1
2706
#13
20.80.0
20.620.6
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.5
Third
6987
#29
15.10.2
14.414.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End3.8
blue by 3.7
6632
#22
18.70.0
18.518.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2