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Red70
130531.7
415224.8
65148.9
Blue43
124618.5
686413.0
61024.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64573040507080901007043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.6
30.631.2
Auto4.4
Teleop18.2
End9.1
red by 7.1
610
#9
24.60.8
26.525.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.4
End5.8
Second
4152
#12
24.80.6
21.522.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End4.8
red by 6.2
1246
#24
18.50.8
14.713.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End4.3
Third
6514
#32
8.90.6
8.79.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End2.0
blue by 4.1
6864
#30
13.00.8
13.312.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsMissed52%HAB Docking oddsMissed