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Red46
467828.1
613521.9
698715.1
Blue56
663218.7
270620.8
494627.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6259405070804656

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.11.0
21.620.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End8.5
red by 1.2
27.00.6
21.821.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End6.4
Second
6135
#14
21.91.0
22.921.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End4.5
red by 1.1
2706
#13
20.80.6
17.817.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.5
Third
6987
#29
15.11.0
13.912.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End3.8
blue by 3.7
6632
#22
18.70.6
16.415.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsEarned