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Red60
470416.7
705215.7
491721.2
Blue70
613521.9
415224.8
491422.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4467203040506080906070

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#10
21.21.2
18.019.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.6
End7.2
blue by 3.5
4152
#12
24.80.4
22.222.6
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End4.8
Second
4704
#19
16.71.2
10.011.3
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.0
blue by 5.8
22.50.4
19.419.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.5
End5.2
Third
7052
#21
15.72.0
13.715.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End4.2
blue by 6.2
6135
#14
21.90.4
21.922.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsEarned