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Red52
633620.7
686413.0
137421.5
Blue77
467828.1
685918.3
270620.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55582040801005277

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1374
#26
21.50.0
19.619.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End5.1
blue by 6.7
28.11.3
23.024.3
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End8.5
Second
6336
#18
20.70.0
19.419.5
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End5.2
blue by 0.1
2706
#13
20.81.3
18.019.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.5
Third
6864
#30
13.00.0
12.712.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 5.3
6859
#11
18.31.3
13.514.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed60%HAB Docking oddsMissed