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Red52
705215.7
496816.2
270620.8
Blue42
65148.9
686413.0
406923.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554720304050607080905242

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#13
20.80.0
20.320.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.5
blue by 2.6
23.40.1
23.423.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End8.8
Second
4968
#16
16.20.0
16.416.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.1
End3.3
red by 3.2
6864
#30
13.00.1
12.712.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Third
7052
#21
15.70.0
15.415.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End4.2
red by 6.8
6514
#32
8.90.1
8.07.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsEarned