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Red70
491422.5
686514.2
494627.0
Blue62
451918.8
470416.7
415224.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63593040507080907062

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.7
24.525.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End6.4
red by 2.2
4152
#12
24.80.4
24.825.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End4.8
Second
22.50.7
22.323.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.5
End5.2
red by 3.7
4519
#28
18.80.4
17.517.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End3.9
Third
6865
#31
14.21.1
12.613.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End4.2
blue by 2.5
4704
#19
16.70.4
14.014.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed