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Red38
478313.1
705215.7
726718.1
Blue59
406923.4
131026.9
686514.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48672030406080903859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7267
#17
18.10.5
17.316.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End3.2
blue by 8.8
26.90.3
26.225.9
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End7.4
Second
7052
#21
15.70.8
15.414.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End4.2
blue by 7.7
23.40.3
23.223.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End8.8
Third
4783
#23
13.10.5
13.112.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End3.2
blue by 1.1
6865
#31
14.20.4
13.713.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed89%HAB Docking oddsEarned