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Red37
686413.0
491721.2
354310.9
Blue62
415224.8
726718.1
698715.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51592040803762

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#10
21.20.7
21.420.6
Auto3.4
Teleop10.6
End7.2
blue by 3.5
4152
#12
24.80.4
25.225.6
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End4.8
Second
6864
#30
13.00.7
12.611.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 5.1
7267
#17
18.10.4
16.717.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End3.2
Third
3543
#33
10.91.1
14.013.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 4.2
6987
#29
15.10.4
13.614.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed