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Red49
491721.2
65148.9
686514.2
Blue87
137421.5
663218.7
685918.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4559203040507080904987

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#10
21.20.4
20.621.0
Auto3.4
Teleop10.6
End7.2
blue by 0.3
1374
#26
21.51.4
20.421.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Second
6865
#31
14.20.5
14.515.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End4.2
blue by 4.5
6632
#22
18.71.4
18.219.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Third
6514
#32
8.90.4
7.88.2
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End2.0
blue by 9.4
6859
#11
18.31.4
17.318.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsEarned