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Red67
686413.0
299421.4
705215.7
Blue72
567215.4
467828.1
491721.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50672030406080901006772

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.41.3
21.122.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.6
End7.3
blue by 6.7
28.10.3
27.827.5
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End8.5
Second
7052
#21
15.71.4
14.215.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End4.2
blue by 5.5
4917
#10
21.20.3
21.020.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.6
End7.2
Third
6864
#30
13.01.3
12.113.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 2.4
5672
#15
15.40.3
15.114.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed18%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned87%HAB Docking oddsEarned