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Red46
354310.9
451918.8
133414.5
Blue17
478313.1
137421.5
65148.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484420304060704617

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4519
#28
18.80.0
17.417.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End3.9
blue by 2.7
1374
#26
21.51.7
18.016.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Second
1334
#25
14.50.0
16.016.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End3.2
red by 1.4
4783
#23
13.11.7
14.612.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End3.2
Third
3543
#33
10.90.0
12.512.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.8
End1.4
red by 2.0
6514
#32
8.91.7
9.37.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed