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Red44
755821.8
592112.9
461811.4
Blue44
639713.7
571919.3
752015.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444920304060704444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End8.3
red by 2.5
5719
#10
19.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End3.9
Second
5921
#24
12.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End2.3
blue by 2.6
7520
#35
15.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Third
4618
#17
11.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End2.6
blue by 2.3
6397
#30
13.7
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed