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Red39
760318.8
477713.0
613013.4
Blue40
761414.3
90721.4
592112.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434002060803940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7603
#22
18.80.3
16.115.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End2.3
blue by 2.7
907
#3
21.40.1
17.918.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End5.0
Second
6130
#32
13.40.5
10.710.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End3.3
blue by 0.9
7614
#12
14.30.1
11.411.5
Auto2.7
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Third
4777
#20
13.00.5
14.013.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.5
End2.7
red by 0.2
5921
#24
12.90.2
8.99.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed