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Red48
752015.5
136019.9
632311.3
Blue64
772112.0
434319.9
639713.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40450102030506070804864

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#14
19.90.5
16.516.9
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Level
19.90.2
16.816.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End5.4
Second
7520
#35
15.50.3
14.414.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End1.7
red by 1.8
6397
#30
13.70.2
13.613.7
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End3.3
Third
6323
#36
11.30.5
7.07.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
blue by 0.7
7721
#21
12.00.3
12.112.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed