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Red42
136019.9
639713.7
614112.9
Blue41
592112.9
571919.3
569912.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444020305060704241

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#14
19.90.3
16.916.6
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
red by 0.5
5719
#10
19.30.2
18.018.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End3.9
Second
6397
#30
13.70.2
13.713.6
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End3.3
red by 0.8
5921
#24
12.90.3
9.19.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End2.3
Third
6141
#16
12.90.2
10.810.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.5
End2.0
red by 0.2
5699
#19
12.70.3
10.811.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed