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Red32
765913.1
752015.5
701311.6
Blue40
270812.7
760318.8
632311.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38383234364042443240

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7520
#35
15.50.3
15.014.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 3.3
7603
#22
18.80.3
15.816.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Second
7659
#18
13.10.5
11.010.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End2.7
red by 0.4
2708
#11
12.70.3
12.212.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Third
7013
#25
11.60.3
10.310.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.2
red by 0.2
6323
#36
11.30.5
7.68.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed