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Red45
434319.9
136019.9
663216.4
Blue38
760318.8
765913.1
771216.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493720304060704538

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.3
16.015.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End5.4
red by 1.2
7603
#22
18.80.2
16.316.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Second
1360
#14
19.90.5
16.516.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
red by 3.9
7712
#13
16.00.2
8.68.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End2.3
Third
6632
#15
16.40.5
13.713.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End1.7
red by 3.4
7659
#18
13.15.4
15.810.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed