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Red58
637815.1
639713.7
761414.3
Blue51
697713.9
760318.8
720014.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39421020305060705851

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6378
#27
15.11.2
11.612.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.6
blue by 3.7
7603
#22
18.80.7
16.116.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Second
7614
#12
14.30.8
12.613.3
Auto2.7
Teleop8.8
End2.8
red by 0.2
7200
#34
14.00.7
12.513.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End2.3
Third
6397
#30
13.70.8
12.313.0
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End3.3
blue by 0.2
6977
#23
13.90.7
11.412.2
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed