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Red50
614112.9
760318.8
434319.9
Blue40
491419.4
569912.7
697510.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524220306070805040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.1
18.818.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End5.4
red by 0.5
19.40.0
18.618.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Second
7603
#22
18.80.1
17.717.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End2.3
red by 6.1
5699
#19
12.70.0
10.810.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Third
6141
#16
12.90.1
12.412.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.5
End2.0
red by 3.0
6975
#33
10.00.0
10.310.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed