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Red49
425214.1
632311.3
592112.9
Blue44
559611.5
697713.9
772112.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34361020304050604944

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4252
#26
14.11.2
10.912.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End3.4
red by 0.2
6977
#23
13.90.3
12.512.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Second
5921
#24
12.91.7
12.414.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End2.3
red by 0.8
7721
#21
12.00.3
12.813.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Third
6323
#36
11.31.5
8.49.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
blue by 0.2
5596
#28
11.50.3
8.99.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed