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Red54
632311.3
771216.0
773519.6
Blue59
425214.1
755821.8
569912.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444610203040506070805459

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.8
17.318.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End4.4
blue by 2.2
21.81.1
20.321.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End8.3
Second
7712
#13
16.00.8
14.315.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End2.3
red by 2.0
4252
#26
14.11.1
12.113.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Third
6323
#36
11.31.0
9.910.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
blue by 1.4
5699
#19
12.71.3
10.812.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsEarned