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Red51
771216.0
434319.9
569912.7
Blue28
697713.9
592112.9
613013.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373501020305060705128

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.91.1
15.716.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End5.4
red by 6.1
6977
#23
13.90.6
10.59.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Second
7712
#13
16.01.1
8.89.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End2.3
red by 2.7
6130
#32
13.40.9
12.912.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End3.3
Third
5699
#19
12.71.8
10.212.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End2.6
blue by 0.2
5921
#24
12.90.9
9.98.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed