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Red53
85421.8
614018.4
614112.9
Blue52
571919.3
434319.9
637815.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565802040801005352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#8
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
red by 1.9
19.90.1
20.119.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End5.4
Second
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End3.6
blue by 0.9
5719
#10
19.30.1
19.519.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End3.9
Third
6141
#16
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.5
End2.0
blue by 2.2
6378
#27
15.10.1
15.215.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.6