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Red44
494621.8
238622.2
611015.5
Blue62
299416.0
613521.8
451916.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64583040507080904462

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.4
22.522.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End8.2
red by 0.3
21.80.2
22.122.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End4.2
Second
4946
#16
21.80.4
22.221.8
Auto3.6
Teleop13.5
End4.8
red by 5.6
4519
#17
16.20.2
16.516.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End4.1
Third
6110
#21
15.50.4
15.915.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End3.1
blue by 0.5
2994
#15
16.00.2
16.316.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End5.4