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Red40
611015.5
686615.8
686413.3
Blue64
220025.9
35718.4
503618.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41473035455055604064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6866
#29
15.80.1
12.712.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End3.3
blue by 10.0
25.91.8
16.618.5
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End7.8
Second
6110
#21
15.50.1
13.914.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End3.1
blue by 3.2
5036
#19
18.61.8
15.517.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Third
6864
#40
13.30.1
12.512.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End3.3
red by 4.9
3571
#38
8.41.8
12.514.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsEarned